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	Include in your paper statistical information around the likelihood of a successful host
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	Include in your paper statistical information around the likelihood of a successful hostage negotiation given the
information provided and the length of time that the situation persists. For example, after a one hour standoff, what is the
likelihood (in percentages) that the negotiation will end successfully? After four hours? After eight hours? How does the
likelihood of a successful negotiation change over the course of time?
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